Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.007750 0.009082 0.010672 0.012740 0.015404 0.018783 0.023503
2025-07-13 0.006299 0.007982 0.010236 0.013586 0.018655 0.026445 0.040290
2025-07-20 0.005395 0.007190 0.009781 0.014011 0.021237 0.034244 0.063142
2025-07-27 0.004709 0.006505 0.009245 0.014048 0.023094 0.041756 0.093194
2025-08-03 0.004218 0.005998 0.008839 0.014133 0.025008 0.050554 0.139111
2025-08-10 0.003748 0.005443 0.008238 0.013688 0.025664 0.056972 0.190928
2025-08-17 0.003322 0.004896 0.007556 0.012919 0.025323 0.060628 0.242346
2025-08-24 0.002994 0.004472 0.007024 0.012328 0.025199 0.064998 0.314686
2025-08-31 0.002831 0.004305 0.006926 0.012609 0.027378 0.079101 0.534656
2025-09-07 0.002616 0.004026 0.006579 0.012274 0.027783 0.087185 0.782358
2025-09-14 0.002413 0.003746 0.006196 0.011785 0.027586 0.092796 1.093254
2025-09-21 0.002284 0.003589 0.006034 0.011779 0.028879 0.107445 2.022452
2025-09-28 0.002187 0.003492 0.006007 0.012167 0.031932 0.139235 7.276250
2025-10-05 0.002130 0.003467 0.006125 0.012976 0.037125 0.202257 277.900756
2025-10-12 0.002045 0.003376 0.006091 0.013376 0.041138 0.276070 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001941 0.003241 0.005940 0.013411 0.043699 0.352444 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001852 0.003124 0.005814 0.013490 0.046629 0.462369 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001740 0.002953 0.005545 0.013073 0.046807 0.530727 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001620 0.002757 0.005200 0.012350 0.044973 0.545370 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001520 0.002596 0.004920 0.011795 0.043856 0.579732 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001475 0.002544 0.004894 0.012059 0.047793 0.842262 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001402 0.002429 0.004706 0.011744 0.047980 0.983865 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001327 0.002306 0.004486 0.011284 0.046989 1.065503 NaN